As we
enter a New Year Nick Churton of our global Mayfair Group
Network takes a look at what may lie ahead for the property market.
Although mature estate agents are apt to say that they
have seen it all before, this time it is different. No one has seen this
market under this set of national and international financial conditions
before. But what is rather refreshing is that the uncertainty now cuts
down the speculation aspect of a house purchase and strips the requirement to
buy down to the real and age-old essentials. This makes for easier
choices.
Le Corbusier, the pioneering architect, stated that, “The
requirements for a house should be to provide a shelter against heat, cold,
rain, thieves and the inquisitive”. He did not add that a house should
also provide its owner with an investment return of seven per cent
year-on-year.
For the first time since the 1960s property investment can
take more of a back seat in the house buying mindset and, instead, fundamental
life requirements can come back to the fore. Of course with other
financial instruments providing so little in the way of return, property is a
natural arena in which to invest.
But with little or no indication about if or when the
market, outside central London ,
will return in any strength we are left with simpler decisions and choices -
does a property suit our requirements in size, location, style and price?
Our needs have been simplified, perhaps in the way they may
have been fifty years ago. With less frenzy and greater choice, for a
while at least, this could be a very good time to choose a primary or secondary
home for all the very best lifestyle reasons.
We quickly learn to expect that there is an investment
opportunity to be gained from property purchase in a rising market. But
we are rather slow to appreciate the reverse is likely in a poor market and/or
in particularly adverse economic circumstances as we have now.
2011 was a hard year in property and this year may not be
much better. We may have new American, Russian and French presidents, more
ructions in Europe and the Middle East , and
greater privations at home before we see improvement. But still there is a
reassuring level of market activity that has more to do with need than
discretion. This is the market we have and this is the market we have to
deal with – and deal with it we will.
Real buyers and sellers should not be deterred. Indeed
they should be encouraged as the more life there is in the property market the
more life there is in the economy. But those still insisting on the sort
of financial profit they may have achieved several years ago should perhaps
think again and get real. It will be the enlightened who get to the top of the
property class in 2012, not those in denial.
020 8643 7777 - sales@christiesworld .com - www.christiesworld.com
No comments:
Post a Comment